FutureCollapse (November 30, 1999 at 12:00 am)

War. War never changes. Global thermonuclear war will settle scores regarding access to dwindling resources. A sort of mercy suicide.

Oilyboyd (November 30, 1999 at 12:00 am)

In general I'd agree with you, but do you really want to bet your future on it? Take a look at the decline of Cantarell (14-20%) or some of the North Sea fields (25-30%). The bell curve may not be a fit here. We're on that plateau now. At this point, it isn't a given that oil from shale can make up the difference; we need to be thinking about making adjustments. According to Hirsch in the DOE report, we needed to start planning 25 years ago, and the recently released IEA report confirms it.

nubtards (November 30, 1999 at 12:00 am)

I doubt oil will peak in such a dramatic fashion. Generally speaking, production in oil fields follows a sort of plateau. Furthermore, there are untapped reserves of oil shale that could be developed in an economic fashion once the price of oil has made a comeback.

Brlz4 (November 30, 1999 at 12:00 am)

Great Cartoon

FutureCollapse (November 30, 1999 at 12:00 am)

Be more sorry for your failed reasoning. The earth is not a creamy nougat of petroleum. There is plenty of evidence that the vast majority of oil comes from fossils.

Oilyboyd (November 30, 1999 at 12:00 am)

There is overwhelming evidence that it comes from ancient sedimentary organic matter (algae and zooplankton, not dinosaurs.) Hydrocarbons such as methane have been detected elsewhere in the solar system, but if there is an abiotic process of oil genesis taking place somewhere deep within the planet (doubtful), it isn't happening fast enough to compensate for our steady depletion of known reserves.

DaveJP1973 (November 30, 1999 at 12:00 am)

Don't disagree with your living frugally theme, nowadays what choice does one have? You've been forcefed too much miserable propaganda though and believe it- the oilmen of this world want to convince you it's running out to keep the price artificially high for as long as possible.Which at present they aren't doing.. $100 a barrel down in 3 months - The oil industry is paranoid about being replaced & will do anything to scare people - There will be combustion engines in 100 years time believe me.

Key88Gun (November 30, 1999 at 12:00 am)

Is there any evidence the oil comes from fossils? And what is that Russian drilling in 13 km have found oil. This deep is older than any dinosaur fossils. Sorry for my bad english.

rayafelix (November 30, 1999 at 12:00 am)

Fantastic animation! well done

Oilyboyd (November 30, 1999 at 12:00 am)

No, I'm just trying to prepare in the ways available to me for what I view to be realistic difficulties for myself, my family, and my community. Even if I'm wrong in my assessment, I will simply have moved towards a more frugal lifestyle. These days, how is that a bad thing? My cartoon doesn't say: the end is near, prepare to meet your doom! It asks a question: given that the supply of oil will decline, how will you ride the slide? You're apparently okay with being a pawn. I'm not.